Which Fredericton grocery store is cheapest? This analyst says it’s not clear

What started as one man’s mission to find the cheapest raspberries in Fredericton turned into an extensive comparison of prices across the city, with no clear answer for which retailer is the most cost-effective.

Ray Harris, a Fredericton-based data analyst, went on a journey to find the best savings on food without having to visit every shop in the city.

To do so, he actually had to travel to almost every shop in the city — and what he found is that the best grocery store, cost-wise, really depends on what you’re buying.

“There’s not really one like single location that is going to solve this problem for us,” said Harris.

A man wearing a head-set and an orange-printed shirt
Harris, a Fredericton-based data analyst, said big-box retailers have the edge on non-perishable items, but for meat or produce, small independent grocers might be a better bet. (CBC)

Harris went to Walmart, Victory Meat Market, Co-Op, Sobeys, Atlantic Superstore, Peters Meat Market and St. Mary’s Supermarket and bought 14 commonly purchased items.

He compared the prices of chicken breasts, lean ground beef, Ben’s bread, 12 large eggs, carrots, russet potatoes, raspberries, grapes, brand-name cheese, unbranded cheese, Activia yogurt, original Oreos, Catelli spaghetti and Ruffles chips.

Fours bar graphs labeled "Proteins and Bread" with each one labeled individually: "Chicken Breast x2 per KG", "SM Lean Ground beef per KG", "Ben's Bread"" and "Dozen Large Eggs". Each has seven bars coloured red, green, brown, grey, blue, royal blue, navy blue. Each bar has the name of a store below it and a price above it.
Harris created graphs to compare the cost of chicken breast, lean ground beef, Ben’s bread and a dozen large eggs at seven different Fredericton grocers. (Ray Harris)

Harris said his findings showed that prices on non-perishable goods are better at the big-box stores like Superstore, Sobeys and Walmart.

“I think that’s a testament to the buying power that those locations would have when they’re Canada-wide, or even [across] the United States,” said Harris. “They can make those deals and bring in lower priced goods.”

For produce, he said the independent grocers, like St. Mary’s and Victory, had better prices for the most part. 

Harris said that’s the problem: different items on a typical grocery list are cheaper at different places, but it isn’t reasonable for some people to travel around to get the best deals.

Fours bar graphs labeled "Vegetables and Fruit" with each one labeled individually: "Carrots (2 or 3lb bag per pound)", "Russet Potatos 10LB", "Raspberries (pint)"" and "Grapes". Each has seven bars coloured red, green, brown, grey, blue, royal blue, navy blue. Each bar has the name of a store below it and a price above it.
Harris’ graphs detailing the cost comparison of carrots, russet potatoes, raspberries and grapes at seven different Fredericton grocers. (Ray Harris)

Given the high cost of gas, he said driving to multiple locations for cheese, then bread, then meat, then produce isn’t going to solve the affordability problem.

Prices for food purchased at grocery stores increased by 11.4 per cent in the year up to January, according to Statistics Canada.

And on Parliament Hill Wednesday, the heads of Canada’s biggest grocery chains pushed back against allegations they are profiteering from high inflation, claiming razor-thin profit margins.

Valerie Tarasuk, a professor in the department of nutritional sciences at the University of Toronto, looks closely at food insecurity.

Six bar graphs labeled "Bits and Bobs" with each one labeled individually: "Cheese Branded (400g)", "Cheese Unbranded (400g)", "Activia yogurt lg", "Original Oreos", "Spaghetti Catelli" and "Ruffles Chips Sm". Each has seven bars coloured red, green, brown, grey, blue, royal blue, navy blue. Each bar has the name of a store below it and a price above it.
The final graph shows the cost comparison of branded cheese, unbranded cheese, Activia yogurt, original Oreos, Catelli spaghetti and Ruffles chips. (Ray Harris)

“The consequences of these high food prices are real,” said Tarasuk.

She said despite “all the chatter” at the hearing in Ottawa, there is still a problem.

“People will go grocery shopping this weekend, and, you know, many of them, some of them at least, will be struggling to buy what they need.”

After his trip to seven grocery stores in Fredericton, Harris did make a few observations that could help people  struggling with rising prices.

His biggest tip is planning ahead and making a plan before heading to a store. If a lot of the list includes boxed goods or branded items, a bigger location might be the best choice. But if they’re shopping mainly for meat or produce, he said, an independent might be best.

Brightly coloured bell peppers, lettuce greens and cabbage are displayed in the produce aisle of a grocery store.
Prices for food purchased at grocery stores increased by 11.4 per cent in the year up to January, according to Statistics Canada. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

Every location Harris visited also had weekly fliers, he said, which could help people decide what grocery store might be more worth going to that week.

He also recommended mapping out a route, whether it be by foot, bus or car, that includes two stops in an attempt to get the biggest margin savings.

“If you can plan ahead a little bit, use some of the resources online without going to the store, I think that’s really your best bet.”

With files from Harry Forestell and Information Morning Fredericton

This story was originally published in CBC News on March 10, 2023.

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